# Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower

**URL:** <https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/t/toward-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower/307>\
**Category:** General\
**Tags:** sophotechnology\
**Created:** [March 26, 2021, 1:20pm UTC](https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/t/toward-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower/307 "2021-03-26T13:20:42Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![avatar](https://yyz2.discourse-cdn.com/free1/user_avatar/eldraeverse.discourse.group/avatar/32/2_2.png) [@avatar](https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/u/avatar)\
**Post date:** [March 26, 2021, 1:20pm UTC](https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/t/toward-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower/307/1 "2021-03-26T13:20:42Z")

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> **[Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/towards-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxMzk5NDc1OCwicG9zdF9pZCI6MzQzNTEyMTksIl8iOiIzNWNHTCIsImlhdCI6MTYxNjc2NDQ1MSwiZXhwIjoxNjE2NzY4MDUxLCJpc3MiOiJwdWItODkxMjAiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.WZsSW3ISW4U1mmjy87hZWFDJ6wPHOxliE1dQsuCn0kc)**
>
> P(A|B) = \[P(A)\*P(B|A)\]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

Some interesting thoughts here on willpower and how it is reflected in biology.

(In this model, the eldrae mind can be assumed to have the gain on the high-level conscious processes turned way, _way_ up.)

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**Author:** ![Zarpaulek](https://yyz2.discourse-cdn.com/free1/user_avatar/eldraeverse.discourse.group/zarpaulek/32/25_2.png) [@Zarpaulek](https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/u/Zarpaulek)\
**Post date:** [March 28, 2021, 4:28pm UTC](https://eldraeverse.discourse.group/t/toward-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower/307/2 "2021-03-28T16:28:35Z")

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“Conflict between agents” sounds like a pretty fair assessment of my mental state.

And by no means do all the agents originate in the brain. There’s a reason they say to never go grocery shopping hungry.